decisions

Wrong decisions are part of life. Being able to make them work anyway is one of the abilities of those who are successful.

You can avoid reality, but you cannot avoid the consequences of avoiding reality.

It is remarkable how much long-term advantage people like us have gotten by trying to be consistently not stupid, instead of trying to be very intelligent.

If we have data, let’s look at data. If all we have are opinions, let’s go with mine.

Common causes of bad decisions:

1. Assumptions based on small sample sizes
2. Wanting the world to work the way we want rather than the way it does
3. Conforming to expectations/authority/group (social default)
4. Blindness to large trends (blind spots)
5. Not asking, "and then what?"

It’s better to be approximately right than precisely wrong.

This shouldn’t even be a public debate. It’s like the public debating and voting on the graphite rods that prevent a nuclear reactor from overheating and melting down. There are certain things you should let the engineers decide.

If you can't decide, the answer is No.